Selected outcome
Before Jan 1, 2028
wide spread 21–43%
Before Jan 1, 2028
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- the White House (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before Jan 20, 2029
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency?
46%
Open · ~$157 24h · ~$102k vol
Bid 45¢ · Ask 46¢
- Before Jan 1, 2027
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency?
19%
Open · ~$145 24h · ~$65k vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 20¢
- Before Dec 1, 2026
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
wide spread 4–95%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 95¢
- Before Jan 1, 2028
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$24 vol
wide spread 21–43%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 43¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.