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Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?

Open

2026

Selected outcome

Yes

2%

Yes · 2%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Mar 1, 2027 ET
Resolution source
The Economist (opens in a new tab)

Price

Yes

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Markets

  • Yes

    Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index be at least 6 in the 2026 edition?

    2%

    Open · ~$26 24h · ~$11k vol

    Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 3.3¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$26
Volume
~$11k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
106k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Mar 1, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index is at least 6.00 as published in the EIU Democracy Index 2026 report, then the market resolves to Yes.

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