Selected outcome
in 2026
wide spread 3–62%
3%
in 2026 · 3%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Feb 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- United States Census Bureau (opens in a new tab)
Price
in 2026
Loading price history.
Markets
- in 2026
Will U.S. imports from Iran for 2026 be greater than $5M?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$336 vol
wide spread 3–62%
Bid 2.5¢ · Ask 61.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Feb 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the "TOTAL 2026" value for Imports on the U.S. Census Bureau "Trade in goods with Iran" table (values in millions of U.S. dollars) for 2026 is greater than 5.0, then the market resolves to Yes.