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Will Russia name the pathogen in the Irkutsk pneumonia case in Oct 2026?

Open

Before Nov 1, 2026

Selected outcome

Yes

5%

Yes · 5%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
Rospotrebnadzor (opens in a new tab)

Price

Yes

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Markets

  • Yes

    Will Russia name the pathogen behind the Irkutsk plague lab death before Nov 1, 2026?

    5%

    Open · ~$1 24h · ~$351 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 8¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
~$1
Volume
~$351
Liquidity
—
Open int.
4,709 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If Rospotrebnadzor announces the identification of a specific pathogen as the cause of the fatal pneumonia of an Irkutsk Anti-Plague Research Institute employee before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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