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How many Senate seats will Independents win in the Midterms?

Open

of the 35 seats up in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, based on media calls

Selected outcome

At least 3

8%

At least 3 · 8%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
The New York Times (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • At least 1

    Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by candidates unaffiliated with a political party be at least 1 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?

    27%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,942 vol

    Bid 25¢ · Ask 28¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 2

    Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by candidates unaffiliated with a political party be at least 2 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?

    10%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,617 vol

    Bid 7¢ · Ask 12¢

    Open full market view →
  • At least 3

    Will the number of U.S. Senate seats won by candidates unaffiliated with a political party be at least 3 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections?

    8%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 12¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$3,564
Liquidity
—
Open int.
10k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the number of U.S. Senate seats won by candidates unaffiliated with a political party is at least 3 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

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