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Will the US restrict access to Kimi in 2026?

Open

a binding U.S. federal measure takes effect that generally prohibits or requires federal authorization for private U.S. persons or companies to access, host, or deploy Kimi K3 or a successor Kimi model

Selected outcome

Before Jan 1, 2027

13%

Before Jan 1, 2027 · 13%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
The Washington Post (opens in a new tab)

Price

Before Jan 1, 2027

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Markets

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a binding U.S. federal measure takes effect that generally prohibits or requires federal authorization for private U.S. persons or companies to access, host, or deploy Kimi K3 or a successor Kimi model before Jan 1, 2027?

    13%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$473 vol

    Bid 10¢ · Ask 16¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$473
Liquidity
—
Open int.
4,404 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If a binding U.S. federal measure takes effect that generally prohibits or requires federal authorization for private U.S. persons or companies to access, host, or deploy Kimi K3 or a successor Kimi model after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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