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Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)

Open

On Nov 3, 2026

Selected outcome

Karen Bass, ≥2%

46%

Karen Bass, ≥2% · 46%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder/County Clerk (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Karen Bass, ≥2%

    Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 2%?

    46%

    Open · ~$93 24h · ~$2,402 vol

    Bid 42¢ · Ask 50¢

    Open full market view →
  • Karen Bass, ≥4%

    Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 4%?

    36%

    Open · ~$2 24h · ~$1,573 vol

    Bid 34¢ · Ask 38¢

    Open full market view →
  • Karen Bass, ≥6%

    Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 6%?

    23%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$106 vol

    Bid 20¢ · Ask 25¢

    Open full market view →
  • Karen Bass, ≥8%

    Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 8%?

    8%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$39 vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 10¢

    Open full market view →
  • Karen Bass, ≥10%

    Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 10%?

    8%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$77 vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 10¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$95
Volume
~$4,197
Liquidity
—
Open int.
7,508 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved

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