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Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)

Open

On Nov 3, 2026

Selected outcome

Karen Bass, ≥6%

23%

Karen Bass, ≥6% · 23%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder/County Clerk (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Karen Bass, ≥2%

    Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 2%?

    46%

    Open · ~$93 24h · ~$2,402 vol

    Bid 42¢ · Ask 50¢

    Open full market view →
  • Karen Bass, ≥4%

    Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 4%?

    36%

    Open · ~$2 24h · ~$1,573 vol

    Bid 34¢ · Ask 38¢

    Open full market view →
  • Karen Bass, ≥6%

    Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 6%?

    23%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$106 vol

    Bid 20¢ · Ask 25¢

    Open full market view →
  • Karen Bass, ≥8%

    Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 8%?

    8%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$39 vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 10¢

    Open full market view →
  • Karen Bass, ≥10%

    Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 10%?

    8%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$77 vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 10¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$95
Volume
~$4,197
Liquidity
—
Open int.
7,508 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 6% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

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