Selected outcome
Above 10
99%
Above 10 · 99%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 2, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Federal Aviation Administration (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 11
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026?
89%
Open · ~$189 24h · ~$716 vol
Bid 86¢ · Ask 91¢
- Above 12
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026?
24%
Open · ~$184 24h · ~$779 vol
Bid 22¢ · Ask 26¢
- Above 17
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- Above 10
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026?
99%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$881 vol
Bid 98¢ · Ask 99¢
- Above 13
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$172 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9¢
- Above 14
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$27 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 3¢
- Above 15
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$48 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 3¢
- Above 16
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$80 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- Above 18
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$29 vol
last
Ask 2¢
- Above 19
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
last
Ask 2¢
- Above 20
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
last
Ask 2¢
- Above 9
How many launches will all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have in October 2026?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$294 vol
last
Bid 98¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 2, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have Above 10 launches in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.