Selected outcome
Before Jul 1, 2028
54%
Before Jul 1, 2028 · 54%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Federal Government of Germany (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before Jan 1, 2028
Will Friedrich Merz leave Chancellor of Germany before Jan 1, 2028?
43%
Open · ~$100 24h · ~$830 vol
Bid 39¢ · Ask 47¢
- Before Apr 1, 2027
Will Friedrich Merz leave Chancellor of Germany before Apr 1, 2027?
13%
Open · ~$52 24h · ~$331 vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 16¢
- Before Nov 1, 2026
Will Friedrich Merz leave Chancellor of Germany before Nov 1, 2026?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$52 vol
last
Ask 2¢
- Before Jan 1, 2027
Will Friedrich Merz leave Chancellor of Germany before Jan 1, 2027?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$915 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 10¢
- Before Jul 1, 2027
Will Friedrich Merz leave Chancellor of Germany before Jul 1, 2027?
27%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$535 vol
Bid 23¢ · Ask 31¢
- Before Jul 1, 2028
Will Friedrich Merz leave Chancellor of Germany before Jul 1, 2028?
54%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$409 vol
Bid 50¢ · Ask 58¢
- Before Jan 1, 2029
Will Friedrich Merz leave Chancellor of Germany before Jan 1, 2029?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$546 vol
last
Bid 79¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved