Selected outcome
Before 2028
40%
Before 2028 · 40%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- The New York Times (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before 2030
Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2030?
68%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$97 vol
Bid 64¢ · Ask 71¢
- Before 2027
Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2027?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$288 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢
- Before 2028
Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2028?
40%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$191 vol
Bid 36¢ · Ask 43¢
- Before 2029
Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2029?
61%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$346 vol
Bid 57¢ · Ask 65¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If any of the Source Agencies report that an LLM has beaten a chess grandmaster in chess before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.