Selected outcome
14 or more
31%
14 or more · 31%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- the Associated Press (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 10 or more
Will at least 10 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 87¢ · Ask 89¢
- 11 or more
Will at least 11 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?
77%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 75¢ · Ask 79¢
- 12 or more
Will at least 12 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?
63%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
Bid 58¢ · Ask 67¢
- 13 or more
Will at least 13 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?
47%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
Bid 42¢ · Ask 51¢
- 14 or more
Will at least 14 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 35¢
- 15 or more
Will at least 15 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 23¢
- 16 or more
Will at least 16 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 16¢
- 17 or more
Will at least 17 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 11¢
- 18 or more
Will at least 18 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 8¢
- 9 or more
Will at least 9 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 95¢ · Ask 99¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If at least 14 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.