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How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?

Openone winner

2026 elections

Selected outcome

Exactly 0

93%

Exactly 0 · 93%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
the Senate Parliamentarian (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • Exactly 0

    Will exactly 0 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026?

    93%

    Open · ~$1,948 24h · ~$46k vol

    Bid 91.7¢ · Ask 94.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Exactly 1

    Will exactly 1 Senate Democrat lose re-election in 2026?

    6%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,647 vol

    Bid 3.7¢ · Ask 8.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Exactly 2

    Will exactly 2 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026?

    2%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$454 vol

    Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 3¢

    Open full market view →
  • Exactly 3

    Will exactly 3 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$94 vol

    Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Exactly 4

    Will exactly 4 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$31 vol

    Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 1.3¢

    Open full market view →
  • 5 or more

    Will at least 5 Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$36 vol

    Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.8¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$1,948
Volume
~$49k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
92k contracts

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If exactly 0 members of the Senate Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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