Selected outcome
40 or more
9%
40 or more · 9%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- the Associated Press (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 16 or more
Will at least 16 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- 20 or more
Will at least 20 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026?
87%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 83¢ · Ask 91¢
- 24 or more
Will at least 24 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026?
67%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 62¢ · Ask 71¢
- 28 or more
Will at least 28 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 39¢ · Ask 48¢
- 32 or more
Will at least 32 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026?
26%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol
Bid 21¢ · Ask 30¢
- 36 or more
Will at least 36 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 17¢
- 40 or more
Will at least 40 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 12¢
- 44 or more
Will at least 44 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 9¢
- 48 or more
Will at least 48 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If at least 40 members of the House Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.