Selected outcome
Exactly 3
13%
Exactly 3 · 13%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- the Senate Parliamentarian (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 5 or more
Will at least 5 the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026?
56%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$14k vol
Bid 55¢ · Ask 56¢
- Exactly 2
Will exactly 2 the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$392 vol
Bid 4.8¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Exactly 3
Will exactly 3 the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,489 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 15¢
- Exactly 4
Will exactly 4 the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,828 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 19¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If exactly 3 members of the Senate Republicans lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.