Selected outcome
50° or below
No
50° or below · No
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 2:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- The Weather Company (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 51° to 52°
Will the minimum temperature be 51-52° on Oct 20, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · ~$4,418 24h · ~$4,941 vol
- 53° to 54°
Will the minimum temperature be 53-54° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$63 24h · ~$72 vol
- 50° or below
Will the minimum temperature be <51° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$33 24h · ~$41 vol
- 59° or above
Will the minimum temperature be >58° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$10 24h · ~$30 vol
- 55° to 56°
Will the minimum temperature be 55-56° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$10 24h · ~$40 vol
- 57° to 58°
Will the minimum temperature be 57-58° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$1 24h · ~$20 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
Settled
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 2:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the minimum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Oct 20, 2026, is less than 51° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.