Selected outcome
40° or below
last
1%
40° or below · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 2:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- The Weather Company (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 45° to 46°
Will the minimum temperature be 45-46° on Oct 21, 2026?
99%
Open · ~$2,112 24h · ~$2,182 vol
last
Bid 99¢
- 40° or below
Will the minimum temperature be <41° on Oct 21, 2026?
1%
Open · ~$28 24h · ~$28 vol
last
Ask 1¢
- 49° or above
Will the minimum temperature be >48° on Oct 21, 2026?
1%
Open · ~$17 24h · ~$17 vol
last
Ask 1¢
- 41° to 42°
Will the minimum temperature be 41-42° on Oct 21, 2026?
1%
Open · ~$16 24h · ~$16 vol
last
Ask 1¢
- 47° to 48°
Will the minimum temperature be 47-48° on Oct 21, 2026?
1%
Open · ~$15 24h · ~$16 vol
last
Ask 1¢
- 43° to 44°
Will the minimum temperature be 43-44° on Oct 21, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$6 24h · ~$6 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 2:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 21, 2026, is less than 41° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.