Selected outcome
43° or below
No
43° or below · No
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 1:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- The Weather Company (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 46° to 47°
Will the minimum temperature be 46-47° on Oct 20, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · ~$2,367 24h · ~$2,763 vol
- 48° to 49°
Will the minimum temperature be 48-49° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$18 24h · ~$31 vol
- 44° to 45°
Will the minimum temperature be 44-45° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$11 24h · ~$14 vol
- 43° or below
Will the minimum temperature be <44° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$10 24h · ~$12 vol
- 52° or above
Will the minimum temperature be >51° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$2 24h · ~$15 vol
- 50° to 51°
Will the minimum temperature be 50-51° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
Settled
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 1:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the minimum temperature recorded at Washington DC (CLIDCA) for Oct 20, 2026, is less than 44° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.