Selected outcome
47° or above
wide spread 19–32%
25%
47° or above · 25%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 1:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- The Weather Company (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 47° or above
Will the minimum temperature be >46° on Oct 22, 2026?
25%
Open · ~$10 24h · ~$10 vol
wide spread 19–32%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 32¢
- 43° to 44°
Will the minimum temperature be 43-44° on Oct 22, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 24–35%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 35¢
- 41° to 42°
Will the minimum temperature be 41-42° on Oct 22, 2026?
4%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 5¢
- 38° or below
Will the minimum temperature be <39° on Oct 22, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- 39° to 40°
Will the minimum temperature be 39-40° on Oct 22, 2026?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 11¢
- 45° to 46°
Will the minimum temperature be 45-46° on Oct 22, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 35–55%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 55¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 1:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the minimum temperature recorded at Washington DC (CLIDCA) for Oct 22, 2026, is greater than 46° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.