Selected outcome
39° or below
No
39° or below · No
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 2:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- The Weather Company (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 46° to 47°
Will the minimum temperature be 46-47° on Oct 20, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · ~$2,834 24h · ~$2,942 vol
- 44° to 45°
Will the minimum temperature be 44-45° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$23 24h · ~$23 vol
- 42° to 43°
Will the minimum temperature be 42-43° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$11 24h · ~$11 vol
- 48° or above
Will the minimum temperature be >47° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$5 24h · ~$19 vol
- 40° to 41°
Will the minimum temperature be 40-41° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
- 39° or below
Will the minimum temperature be <40° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
Settled
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 2:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the minimum temperature recorded at Minneapolis (CLIMSP) for Oct 20, 2026, is less than 40° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.