Selected outcome
45° or below
No
45° or below · No
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 1:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- The Weather Company (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 50° to 51°
Will the minimum temperature be 50-51° on Oct 20, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · ~$4,361 24h · ~$4,867 vol
- 48° to 49°
Will the minimum temperature be 48-49° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$45 24h · ~$46 vol
- 52° to 53°
Will the minimum temperature be 52-53° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$26 24h · ~$41 vol
- 46° to 47°
Will the minimum temperature be 46-47° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$11 24h · ~$28 vol
- 45° or below
Will the minimum temperature be <46° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
- 54° or above
Will the minimum temperature be >53° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
Settled
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 1:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the minimum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for Oct 20, 2026, is less than 46° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.