Selected outcome
51° or above
No
51° or above · No
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 1:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- The Weather Company (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 47° to 48°
Will the minimum temperature be 47-48° on Oct 20, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · ~$2,561 24h · ~$2,706 vol
- 45° to 46°
Will the minimum temperature be 45-46° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$15 24h · ~$29 vol
- 49° to 50°
Will the minimum temperature be 49-50° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$13 24h · ~$15 vol
- 43° to 44°
Will the minimum temperature be 43-44° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$2 24h · ~$14 vol
- 51° or above
Will the minimum temperature be >50° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$1 24h · ~$13 vol
- 42° or below
Will the minimum temperature be <43° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$1 24h · ~$2 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
Settled
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 1:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the minimum temperature recorded at Philadelphia (CLIPHL) for Oct 20, 2026, is greater than 50° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.