Selected outcome
38° or below
2%
38° or below · 2%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 1:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- The Weather Company (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 47° or above
Will the minimum temperature be >46° on Oct 22, 2026?
36%
Open · ~$314 24h · ~$314 vol
Bid 31¢ · Ask 41¢
- 45° to 46°
Will the minimum temperature be 45-46° on Oct 22, 2026?
37%
Open · ~$24 24h · ~$26 vol
wide spread 33–45%
Bid 33¢ · Ask 45¢
- 43° to 44°
Will the minimum temperature be 43-44° on Oct 22, 2026?
18%
Open · ~$5 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 10–25%
Bid 10¢ · Ask 25¢
- 38° or below
Will the minimum temperature be <39° on Oct 22, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- 39° to 40°
Will the minimum temperature be 39-40° on Oct 22, 2026?
3%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$2 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢
- 41° to 42°
Will the minimum temperature be 41-42° on Oct 22, 2026?
5%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 1:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the minimum temperature recorded at Philadelphia (CLIPHL) for Oct 22, 2026, is less than 39° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.