Selected outcome
46° or above
Yes
46° or above · Yes
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 1:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- The Weather Company (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 46° or above
Will the minimum temperature be >45° on Oct 20, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · ~$2,852 24h · ~$3,065 vol
- 42° to 43°
Will the minimum temperature be 42-43° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$25 24h · ~$25 vol
- 40° to 41°
Will the minimum temperature be 40-41° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$15 24h · ~$15 vol
- 38° to 39°
Will the minimum temperature be 38-39° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$12 24h · ~$13 vol
- 44° to 45°
Will the minimum temperature be 44-45° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$11 24h · ~$11 vol
- 37° or below
Will the minimum temperature be <38° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$10 24h · ~$10 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
Settled
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 1:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the minimum temperature recorded at Louisville (CLISDF) for Oct 20, 2026, is greater than 45° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.