Selected outcome
38° or below
last
1%
38° or below · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 1:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- The Weather Company (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 47° or above
Will the minimum temperature be >46° on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$103 24h · ~$103 vol
wide spread 23–74%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 74¢
- 45° to 46°
Will the minimum temperature be 45-46° on Oct 21, 2026?
28%
Open · ~$15 24h · ~$15 vol
wide spread 21–70%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 70¢
- 41° to 42°
Will the minimum temperature be 41-42° on Oct 21, 2026?
1%
Open · ~$11 24h · ~$11 vol
last
Ask 1¢
- 39° to 40°
Will the minimum temperature be 39-40° on Oct 21, 2026?
1%
Open · ~$10 24h · ~$11 vol
last
Ask 1¢
- 38° or below
Will the minimum temperature be <39° on Oct 21, 2026?
1%
Open · ~$10 24h · ~$10 vol
last
Ask 1¢
- 43° to 44°
Will the minimum temperature be 43-44° on Oct 21, 2026?
3%
Open · ~$4 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 1:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the minimum temperature recorded at Louisville (CLISDF) for Oct 21, 2026, is less than 39° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.