Selected outcome
48° or above
wide spread 29–40%
48° or above
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 1:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- The Weather Company (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 46° to 47°
Will the minimum temperature be 46-47° on Oct 22, 2026?
45%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$2 vol
Bid 42¢ · Ask 47¢
- 40° to 41°
Will the minimum temperature be 40-41° on Oct 22, 2026?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 10¢
- 39° or below
Will the minimum temperature be <40° on Oct 22, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- 42° to 43°
Will the minimum temperature be 42-43° on Oct 22, 2026?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 10¢
- 44° to 45°
Will the minimum temperature be 44-45° on Oct 22, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 5–23%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 23¢
- 48° or above
Will the minimum temperature be >47° on Oct 22, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 29–40%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 40¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 1:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the minimum temperature recorded at Louisville (CLISDF) for Oct 22, 2026, is greater than 47° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.