Selected outcome
38° or below
No
38° or below · No
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 4:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- The Weather Company (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 45° to 46°
Will the minimum temperature be 45-46° on Oct 20, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · ~$1,648 24h · ~$1,703 vol
- 41° to 42°
Will the minimum temperature be 41-42° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$17 24h · ~$20 vol
- 47° or above
Will the minimum temperature be >46° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$12 24h · ~$15 vol
- 38° or below
Will the minimum temperature be <39° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$8 24h · ~$12 vol
- 39° to 40°
Will the minimum temperature be 39-40° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$8 24h · ~$11 vol
- 43° to 44°
Will the minimum temperature be 43-44° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$4 24h · ~$4 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
Settled
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 4:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the minimum temperature recorded at Seattle (CLISEA) for Oct 20, 2026, is less than 39° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.