Selected outcome
56° or above
No
56° or above · No
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 4:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- The Weather Company (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 54° to 55°
Will the minimum temperature be 54-55° on Oct 20, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · ~$3,096 24h · ~$3,270 vol
- 48° to 49°
Will the minimum temperature be 48-49° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$9 24h · ~$13 vol
- 50° to 51°
Will the minimum temperature be 50-51° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$9 24h · ~$11 vol
- 47° or below
Will the minimum temperature be <48° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$7 24h · ~$12 vol
- 52° to 53°
Will the minimum temperature be 52-53° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$7 24h · ~$8 vol
- 56° or above
Will the minimum temperature be >55° on Oct 20, 2026?
No
Settled · no · ~$1 24h · ~$14 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
Settled
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 4:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 20, 2026, is greater than 55° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.