Selected outcome
50° or below
2%
50° or below · 2%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 4:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- The Weather Company (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 59° or above
Will the minimum temperature be >58° on Oct 21, 2026?
88%
Open · ~$467 24h · ~$516 vol
Bid 85¢ · Ask 90¢
- 57° to 58°
Will the minimum temperature be 57-58° on Oct 21, 2026?
7%
Open · ~$22 24h · ~$22 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 10¢
- 55° to 56°
Will the minimum temperature be 55-56° on Oct 21, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$4 24h · ~$5 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- 50° or below
Will the minimum temperature be <51° on Oct 21, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$6 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- 51° to 52°
Will the minimum temperature be 51-52° on Oct 21, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$5 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- 53° to 54°
Will the minimum temperature be 53-54° on Oct 21, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 4:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 21, 2026, is less than 51° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.