Selected outcome
60° or above
wide spread 5–23%
60° or above
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 4:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- The Weather Company (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 58° to 59°
Will the minimum temperature be 58-59° on Oct 22, 2026?
44%
Open · ~$13 24h · ~$13 vol
wide spread 42–62%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 62¢
- 52° to 53°
Will the minimum temperature be 52-53° on Oct 22, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 3¢
- 51° or below
Will the minimum temperature be <52° on Oct 22, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- 54° to 55°
Will the minimum temperature be 54-55° on Oct 22, 2026?
10%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$2 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 14¢
- 56° to 57°
Will the minimum temperature be 56-57° on Oct 22, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 19–39%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 39¢
- 60° or above
Will the minimum temperature be >59° on Oct 22, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 5–23%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 23¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 4:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 22, 2026, is greater than 59° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.