Selected outcome
Before Jan 1, 2029
wide spread 2–97%
Before Jan 1, 2029
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Mar 31, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of Commerce (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before Apr 1, 2027
Will Howard Lutnick be out as Commerce Secretary before Apr 1, 2027?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–97%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 97¢
- Before Jul 1, 2027
Will Howard Lutnick be out as Commerce Secretary before Jul 1, 2027?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–97%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 97¢
- Before Oct 1, 2027
Will Howard Lutnick be out as Commerce Secretary before Oct 1, 2027?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–98%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 98¢
- Before Jan 1, 2028
Will Howard Lutnick be out as Commerce Secretary before Jan 1, 2028?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–98%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 98¢
- Before Jul 1, 2028
Will Howard Lutnick be out as Commerce Secretary before Jul 1, 2028?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–98%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 98¢
- Before Jan 1, 2029
Will Howard Lutnick be out as Commerce Secretary before Jan 1, 2029?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–97%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 97¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Mar 31, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Howard Lutnick leaves as Commerce Secretary before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.