Selected outcome
Above 10000
7%
Above 10000 · 7%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- CDC (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 6000
Will there be more than 6000 measles cases in 2026?
86%
Open · ~$942 24h · ~$251k vol
Bid 85¢ · Ask 87¢
- Above 7000
Will there be more than 7000 measles cases in 2026?
62%
Open · ~$227 24h · ~$949 vol
Bid 59¢ · Ask 64¢
- Above 10000
Will there be more than 10000 measles cases in 2026?
7%
Open · ~$171 24h · ~$12k vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 7¢
- Above 8000
Will there be more than 8000 measles cases in 2026?
25%
Open · ~$159 24h · ~$42k vol
Bid 24¢ · Ask 25¢
- Above 5000
Will there be more than 5000 measles cases in 2026?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 95¢ · Ask 99¢
- Above 9000
Will there be more than 9000 measles cases in 2026?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$43 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 14¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the number of measles in 2026 is above 10000, then the market resolves to Yes.