Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?

Open

Large meteor strike

Selected outcome

Before 2030

54%

Before 2030 · 54%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Dec 31, 2029 ET
Resolution source: NASA (opens in a new tab)

Price

Before 2030

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Markets

Before 2030
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
54%
Open · ~$19 24h · ~$80k vol
Bid 53.6¢ · Ask 54.9¢
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Event statistics

24h vol: ~$19
Volume: ~$80k
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 35k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end: Dec 31, 2029 ET
Resolution source: NASA (opens in a new tab)

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

If a major meteor (10 kilotons TNT equivalent or greater) hits Earth before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

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