Selected outcome
Democrats, 14+ pts
wide spread 4–15%
Democrats, 14+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Alaska Division of Elections (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- Democrats, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Alaska be at least 11 percentage points?
25%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$100 vol
wide spread 19–31%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 31¢
- Democrats, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Alaska be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 3.7¢ · Ask 15¢
- Democrats, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Alaska be at least 17 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7.7¢
- Democrats, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Alaska be at least 2 percentage points?
77%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$154 vol
wide spread 72–84%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 84¢
- Democrats, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Alaska be at least 5 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 54–66%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 66¢
- Democrats, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Alaska be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 36–48%
Bid 36¢ · Ask 48¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Alaska by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.