Selected outcome
Carl, 33+ pts
24%
Carl, 33+ pts · 24%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Carl, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 1st District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
64%
Open · ~$127 24h · ~$127 vol
Bid 59¢ · Ask 69¢
- Carl, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 1st District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
86%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 82¢ · Ask 90.7¢
- Carl, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 1st District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 71–83%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 83¢
- Carl, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 1st District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 42–54%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 54¢
- Carl, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 1st District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Carl, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 1st District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$793 vol
Bid 22¢ · Ask 25¢
- Carl, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 1st District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$239 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 3.6¢ · Ask 15¢
- Carl, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 1st District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$195 vol
Bid 2.4¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Carl, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 1st District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$307 vol
Bid 2.4¢ · Ask 7.3¢
- Carl, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 1st District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
Ask 6.3¢
- Carl, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 1st District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6.1¢
- Carl, 51+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 1st District House election be at least 51 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Ask 6.1¢
- Carl, 54+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 1st District House election be at least 54 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$115 vol
Ask 6¢
- Carl, 57+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 1st District House election be at least 57 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$232 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Alabama's 1st District by 33 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.