Selected outcome
Aderholt, 63+ pts
wide spread 27–39%
Aderholt, 63+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Aderholt, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 4th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92.6¢ · Ask 97.3¢
- Aderholt, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 4th District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.4¢ · Ask 97.2¢
- Aderholt, 51+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 4th District House election be at least 51 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 87–97%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 97.3¢
- Aderholt, 54+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 4th District House election be at least 54 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 77–88%
Bid 77¢ · Ask 88¢
- Aderholt, 57+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 4th District House election be at least 57 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 63–75%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 75¢
- Aderholt, 60+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 4th District House election be at least 60 percentage points?
55%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$240 vol
wide spread 46–58%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 58¢
- Aderholt, 63+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 4th District House election be at least 63 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 27–39%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 39¢
- Aderholt, 66+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 4th District House election be at least 66 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–23%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢
- Aderholt, 69+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 4th District House election be at least 69 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 12¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Alabama's 4th District by 63 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.