Selected outcome
Strong, 25+ pts
wide spread 28–40%
38%
Strong, 25+ pts · 38%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Strong, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 5th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
38%
Open · ~$78 24h · ~$1,170 vol
wide spread 28–40%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 40¢
- Strong, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 5th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
17%
Open · ~$8 24h · ~$459 vol
wide spread 15–27%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 27¢
- Strong, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 5th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$639 vol
Bid 95.3¢ · Ask 98.4¢
- Strong, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 5th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,438 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 97.1¢
- Strong, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 5th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
84%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,973 vol
Bid 80¢ · Ask 88¢
- Strong, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 5th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,176 vol
Bid 69¢ · Ask 75¢
- Strong, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 5th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
49%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,059 vol
wide spread 46–58%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 58¢
- Strong, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 5th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$641 vol
wide spread 6–18%
Bid 6.2¢ · Ask 18¢
- Strong, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 5th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$687 vol
Bid 1.8¢ · Ask 11¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Alabama's 5th District by 25 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.