Selected outcome
Palmer, 18+ pts
wide spread 79–91%
Palmer, 18+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Palmer, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 79–91%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.5¢
- Palmer, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$54 vol
wide spread 68–80%
Bid 68¢ · Ask 80¢
- Palmer, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
wide spread 55–67%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 67¢
- Palmer, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$318 vol
wide spread 40–52%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 52¢
- Palmer, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$185 vol
wide spread 25–37%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 37¢
- Palmer, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol
wide spread 13–25%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 25¢
- Palmer, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$246 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 3.8¢ · Ask 15¢
- Palmer, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$462 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Palmer, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$152 vol
Ask 7.5¢
- Palmer, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Alabama's 6th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$18 vol
Ask 6.4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Alabama's 6th District by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.