Selected outcome
Moore, 31+ pts
7%
Moore, 31+ pts · 7%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Moore, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabama be at least 21 percentage points?
34%
Open · ~$16 24h · ~$182 vol
Bid 31¢ · Ask 37¢
- Moore, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabama be at least 15 percentage points?
64%
Open · ~$13 24h · ~$399 vol
wide spread 63–74%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 74¢
- Moore, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabama be at least 25 percentage points?
26%
Open · ~$5 24h · ~$262 vol
wide spread 15–26%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 26¢
- Moore, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabama be at least 11 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 79–91%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.8¢
- Moore, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabama be at least 13 percentage points?
79%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,190 vol
Bid 74¢ · Ask 83¢
- Moore, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabama be at least 17 percentage points?
60%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$192 vol
Bid 55¢ · Ask 64¢
- Moore, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabama be at least 19 percentage points?
49%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$660 vol
Bid 44¢ · Ask 53¢
- Moore, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabama be at least 23 percentage points?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,221 vol
Bid 25¢ · Ask 32¢
- Moore, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabama be at least 27 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$58 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 18¢
- Moore, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabama be at least 29 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$34 vol
Bid 5.6¢ · Ask 13¢
- Moore, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabama be at least 31 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23 vol
Bid 4.3¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Moore, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Alabama be at least 33 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$44 vol
Bid 3.8¢ · Ask 9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Alabama by 31 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.