Selected outcome
Crawford, 45+ pts
wide spread 12–24%
Crawford, 45+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Crawford, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 1st District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 97.4¢
- Crawford, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 1st District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$203 vol
Bid 85¢ · Ask 90.8¢
- Crawford, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 1st District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
78%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$198 vol
Bid 73¢ · Ask 83¢
- Crawford, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 1st District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$276 vol
wide spread 61–72%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 72¢
- Crawford, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 1st District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$196 vol
wide spread 43–55%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 55¢
- Crawford, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 1st District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$221 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Crawford, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 1st District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$115 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- Crawford, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 1st District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$45 vol
wide spread 3–15%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 15¢
- Crawford, 51+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 1st District House election be at least 51 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arkansas's 1st District by 45 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.