Selected outcome
Womack, 22+ pts
wide spread 45–57%
56%
Womack, 22+ pts · 56%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Womack, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 3rd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
92%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$997 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 95.8¢
- Womack, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 3rd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
85%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$867 vol
wide spread 83–95%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94.9¢
- Womack, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 3rd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,266 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
- Womack, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 3rd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,133 vol
wide spread 61–72%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 72¢
- Womack, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 3rd District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
56%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,040 vol
wide spread 45–57%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 57¢
- Womack, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 3rd District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,231 vol
wide spread 29–41%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 41¢
- Womack, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 3rd District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$720 vol
wide spread 16–28%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 28¢
- Womack, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 3rd District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$418 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 5.7¢ · Ask 17¢
- Womack, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 3rd District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$250 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arkansas's 3rd District by 22 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.