Selected outcome
Westerman, 39+ pts
wide spread 19–31%
Westerman, 39+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Westerman, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 4th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$99 vol
wide spread 85–96%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 95.9¢
- Westerman, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 4th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$203 vol
Bid 76¢ · Ask 86¢
- Westerman, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 4th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$420 vol
wide spread 64–75%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 75¢
- Westerman, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 4th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$399 vol
wide spread 49–61%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 61¢
- Westerman, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 4th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$378 vol
wide spread 33–45%
Bid 33¢ · Ask 45¢
- Westerman, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 4th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$250 vol
wide spread 19–31%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 31¢
- Westerman, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 4th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 8–20%
Bid 8.1¢ · Ask 20¢
- Westerman, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 4th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 12¢
- Westerman, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 4th District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8.4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arkansas's 4th District by 39 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.