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Arkansas Senate margin of victory

Open

On November 3, 2026

Selected outcome

Cotton, 8+ pts

wide spread 77–88%

80%

Cotton, 8+ pts · 80%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Cotton, 8+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 8 percentage points?

    80%

    Open · ~$78 24h · ~$490 vol

    wide spread 77–88%

    Bid 77¢ · Ask 88¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cotton, 14+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 14 percentage points?

    51%

    Open · ~$22 24h · ~$758 vol

    wide spread 50–62%

    Bid 50¢ · Ask 62¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cotton, 10+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 10 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$1 24h · ~$792 vol

    wide spread 70–81%

    Bid 70¢ · Ask 81¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cotton, 12+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 12 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$1 24h · ~$826 vol

    wide spread 60–71%

    Bid 60¢ · Ask 71¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cotton, 22+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 22 percentage points?

    12%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$35 vol

    wide spread 12–23%

    Bid 12¢ · Ask 23¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cotton, 2+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 2 percentage points?

    94%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$19 vol

    Bid 90.2¢ · Ask 98.2¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cotton, 4+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 4 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$121 vol

    wide spread 88–98%

    Bid 88¢ · Ask 98.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cotton, 6+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 6 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$39 vol

    wide spread 84–95%

    Bid 84¢ · Ask 95.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cotton, 16+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 16 percentage points?

    41%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$403 vol

    wide spread 39–51%

    Bid 39¢ · Ask 51¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cotton, 18+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 18 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$265 vol

    wide spread 29–41%

    Bid 29¢ · Ask 41¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cotton, 20+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 20 percentage points?

    22%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol

    wide spread 19–31%

    Bid 19¢ · Ask 31¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cotton, 24+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 24 percentage points?

    9%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$100 vol

    wide spread 5–17%

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 17¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cotton, 26+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 26 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol

    wide spread 1–12%

    Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 12¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cotton, 28+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 28 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$71 vol

    Ask 9.3¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cotton, 30+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 30 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol

    Ask 7.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cotton, 32+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 32 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol

    Ask 6.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Cotton, 34+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 34 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$151 vol

    Ask 6.3¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$102
Volume
~$4,154
Liquidity
—
Open int.
5,445 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved

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