Selected outcome
Cotton, 10+ pts
wide spread 70–81%
Cotton, 10+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Cotton, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 8 percentage points?
80%
Open · ~$78 24h · ~$490 vol
wide spread 77–88%
Bid 77¢ · Ask 88¢
- Cotton, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 14 percentage points?
51%
Open · ~$22 24h · ~$758 vol
wide spread 50–62%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 62¢
- Cotton, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 10 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$792 vol
wide spread 70–81%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 81¢
- Cotton, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$826 vol
wide spread 60–71%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 71¢
- Cotton, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 22 percentage points?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$35 vol
wide spread 12–23%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 23¢
- Cotton, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 2 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$19 vol
Bid 90.2¢ · Ask 98.2¢
- Cotton, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 4 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$121 vol
wide spread 88–98%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 98.1¢
- Cotton, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 6 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$39 vol
wide spread 84–95%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95.1¢
- Cotton, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 16 percentage points?
41%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$403 vol
wide spread 39–51%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 51¢
- Cotton, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$265 vol
wide spread 29–41%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 41¢
- Cotton, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 20 percentage points?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol
wide spread 19–31%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 31¢
- Cotton, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 24 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$100 vol
wide spread 5–17%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 17¢
- Cotton, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 12¢
- Cotton, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$71 vol
Ask 9.3¢
- Cotton, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol
Ask 7.7¢
- Cotton, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
Ask 6.7¢
- Cotton, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 34 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$151 vol
Ask 6.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Arkansas by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.