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Arizona's 1st District margin of victory

Open

Arizona's 1st District

Selected outcome

Feely, 4+ pts

9%

Feely, 4+ pts · 9%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Feely, 1+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?

    20%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,501 vol

    Bid 15¢ · Ask 24¢

    Open full market view →
  • Feely, 4+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 1st District House election be at least 4 percentage points?

    9%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,353 vol

    Bid 4.3¢ · Ask 13¢

    Open full market view →
  • Feely, 7+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 1st District House election be at least 7 percentage points?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$532 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 8.9¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$5,385
Liquidity
—
Open int.
1,670 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 1st District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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