Selected outcome
Nez, 2+ pts
18%
Nez, 2+ pts · 18%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Nez, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 2nd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
18%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 22¢
- Nez, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 2nd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.9¢ · Ask 13¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 2nd District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.