Selected outcome
Ansari, 42+ pts
96%
Ansari, 42+ pts · 96%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Ansari, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 3rd District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,302 vol
Bid 95.3¢ · Ask 99.9¢
- Ansari, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 3rd District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,180 vol
Bid 92.6¢ · Ask 99.1¢
- Ansari, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 3rd District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
Bid 92.2¢ · Ask 96.2¢
- Ansari, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 3rd District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,169 vol
Bid 93.4¢
- Ansari, 51+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 3rd District House election be at least 51 percentage points?
92%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,584 vol
last
Bid 91.3¢
- Ansari, 54+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 3rd District House election be at least 54 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$56 vol
Bid 90.6¢
- Ansari, 57+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 3rd District House election be at least 57 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$66 vol
Bid 90.2¢ · Ask 99.1¢
- Ansari, 60+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 3rd District House election be at least 60 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$504 vol
Bid 90¢ · Ask 99.8¢
- Ansari, 63+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 3rd District House election be at least 63 percentage points?
92%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,862 vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 96.5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 3rd District by 42 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.