Selected outcome
Stanton, 22+ pts
wide spread 23–35%
Stanton, 22+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Stanton, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 4th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Stanton, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 4th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
79%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$16 vol
Bid 76¢ · Ask 82¢
- Stanton, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 4th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$282 vol
wide spread 65–76%
Bid 65¢ · Ask 76¢
- Stanton, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 4th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
56%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,229 vol
wide spread 51–62%
Bid 51¢ · Ask 62¢
- Stanton, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 4th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$699 vol
wide spread 36–48%
Bid 36¢ · Ask 48¢
- Stanton, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 4th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$463 vol
wide spread 23–35%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 35¢
- Stanton, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 4th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$796 vol
wide spread 12–23%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 23¢
- Stanton, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 4th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$133 vol
Bid 7.1¢ · Ask 15¢
- Stanton, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 4th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,875 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 97.2¢
- Stanton, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 4th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 85¢ · Ask 90¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 4th District by 22 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.