Selected outcome
Mendoza, 10+ pts
wide spread 18–30%
25%
Mendoza, 10+ pts · 25%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Mendoza, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 6th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,424 vol
Bid 76¢ · Ask 86¢
- Mendoza, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 6th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
25%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$630 vol
wide spread 18–30%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 30¢
- Mendoza, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 6th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$37 vol
wide spread 8–20%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 20¢
- Mendoza, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 6th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
wide spread 2–12%
Bid 1.9¢ · Ask 12¢
- Mendoza, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 6th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
59%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,225 vol
wide spread 57–69%
Bid 57¢ · Ask 69¢
- Mendoza, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 6th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
39%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$753 vol
wide spread 37–49%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 49¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 6th District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.