Selected outcome
Ciscomani, 2+ pts
wide spread 6–17%
Ciscomani, 2+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Ciscomani, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 6th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 6.4¢ · Ask 17¢
- Ciscomani, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 6th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$169 vol
Bid 3.5¢ · Ask 11¢
- Ciscomani, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 6th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 8.1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 6th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.